ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
NYSE · Industrials · Trucking & Courier Services (No Air) · Market cap $16.0B · $19.50 on 2026-10-02
Buy rangeTier BDetailed (TTM)
reports in CNY, converted at 6.704 CNY/USD EPS from yahoo TTM to 2026-06-30
Price moves
1 week0%
1 month-7%
3 months-16%
6 months-22%
YTD-10%
1 year3%
Off 52w high-26%
52w range$18–$26
Price and total return
PriceTotal return (dividends reinvested)
Show year-end values
| Year | Price | Dividend-adjusted |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $12.07 | $10.38 |
| 2017 | $15.85 | $13.63 |
| 2018 | $15.83 | $13.79 |
| 2019 | $23.35 | $20.62 |
| 2020 | $29.16 | $26.03 |
| 2021 | $28.22 | $25.41 |
| 2022 | $26.87 | $24.43 |
| 2023 | $21.28 | $19.60 |
| 2024 | $19.55 | $18.87 |
| 2025 | $20.89 | $20.56 |
| 2026-10-02 (latest) | $19.50 | $19.50 |
Dividend-adjusted values are back-adjusted to today's price: the gap to the price column is the value of dividends reinvested since then.
Ten Cap
$12
$12
Payback Time
$19
$19
Buy (MOS)
$21
$21
Sticker
$42
$42
Price
$20
$20
Valuation
| Buy (MOS) 50% of Sticker | $20.82 | 7% |
|---|---|---|
| Ten Cap 10× owner earnings | $12.27 | -37% |
| Payback Time 8-year FCF payback | $19.38 | -1% |
| Sticker Rule #1 intrinsic value | $41.64 | 114% |
| Windage growth g | 15.0% | |
| Future P/E (min 2g, 10y median) | 21.8× | |
| P/E · 10y median | 10.2× | 21.8× |
| EPS TTM 2025-12-31 | $1.91 | |
| FCF yield | 6.3% | |
| Dividend (TTM) · yield | $0.39 | 2.0% |
| Dividend growth 5y, per year | 9.3% | |
| Total return per year, dividends reinvested · 5y · 10y | -6.6% | 4.2% |
| Revenue · net income last FY | $7.0B | $1.3B |
Big Five 11/15 tests ≥10%
| 10y | 5y | 1y | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 12% | 12% | 13% |
| Sales growth | 23% | 14% | 11% |
| EPS growth | 18% | 16% | 5% |
| BVPS growth | 24% | 6% | 9% |
| OCF growth | 19% | 19% | 5% |
| Debt payoff (yrs of FCF) | 0.0 |
Events
-26% off 52w high; 13D: SCHEDULE 13D/A 2026-09-22; next report ~2026-12-25
Next report ≈ 2026-12-25 · SEC filings ·Yahoo Finance
Research
- Rule #1 weekly scout, 4 Oct 2026 2026-10-04