RuleOne

RULERS dossiers

Each week the RULERS analyst updates a living dossier for the buy-range leaders, names with fresh Radar events, and anything on research/watchlist.txt. Each dossier covers Radar, Understand,Love (moat and management), Event, Reduce basis (a tranche ladder; no options) and Story, judged against the Rule #1 method. This is research, not advice.

TickerVerdictConf.Price nowTranche 1vs T1TrimBottom lineUpdated
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
WATCH3/5$237.69$225.006%$330.00A high-ROIC software franchise at ~10x non-GAAP earnings, but generative-AI disruption, a CEO handover (1 Dec) and an interim CFO leave the story unproven; the corrected Sticker is only ~$230.2026-10-09
KNSL
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.
WATCH4/5$329.72$280.0018%$400.00An exceptional specialty insurer (combined ratio ~76%, ROIC 23%), but on normalised earnings it is above all three corrected prices because E&S property pricing is softening; wait for a lower price or Q3 proof.2026-10-09
LULU
lululemon athletica inc.
WATCH3/5$94.46$90.005%$125.00A high-ROIC brand with net cash and a new CEO, but US sales are shrinking, earnings are falling and TTM EPS is flattered; wait for a lower price or proof the product fix works.2026-10-09

Track record 3 calls logged · graded after 4 weeks against the S&P 500

Every RULERS verdict and Radar EVENT/PROBLEM is logged with its price. The Professor reviews the outliers forprocess lessons. Judge the process, not the outcome.

Nothing old enough to grade yet.