NVMI Nova Ltd.
Nasdaq · Information Technology · Optical Instruments & Lenses · Market cap $13M · $396.12 on 2026-10-02
Buy (Payback/Ten Cap)Tier AFiscal-year data · FY2025
micro-cap
Price moves
1 week8%
1 month6%
3 months-16%
6 months-10%
YTD1%
1 year23%
Off 52w high-36%
52w range$266–$616
Price history
Show year-end values
| Year | Price |
|---|---|
| 2016 | $13.16 |
| 2017 | $25.91 |
| 2018 | $22.78 |
| 2019 | $37.83 |
| 2020 | $70.60 |
| 2021 | $146.50 |
| 2022 | $81.68 |
| 2023 | $137.39 |
| 2024 | $196.95 |
| 2025 | $328.39 |
| 2026-10-02 (latest) | $396.12 |
Buy (MOS)
$119
$119
Sticker
$239
$239
Ten Cap
$66,438
$66,438
Payback Time
$104,877
$104,877
Price
$396
$396
Analyst consensus 8 analysts · as of 2026-10-09 · the street vs Rule #1
Street agrees Targets $415 low · $515 mean · $600 high (+30% to the mean)
Rule #1 price and the street both say cheap.
Low
$415
$415
Mean
$515
$515
High
$600
$600
Buy (MOS)
$119
$119
Sticker
$239
$239
Price
$396
$396
Average rating 1.5 of 5 (1 = strong buy, 5 = sell) · strong buy · EPS growth next year 28% vs windage 15.0%
- 2026-10-08 Citigroup downgraded Neutral, target $550→$415
A price target is a 12-month price opinion, not a valuation. Rule #1 treats analysts as a lead and their growth as a ceiling (077, 093). Source: Yahoo Finance consensus.
Valuation
| Buy (MOS) 50% of Sticker | $119.40 | -70% |
|---|---|---|
| Ten Cap 10× owner earnings − net debt | $66,437.50 | 16672% |
| Payback Time 8-year FCF payback | $104,877.19 | 26376% |
| Sticker Rule #1 intrinsic value | $238.80 | -40% |
| Methods agree price under how many of Ten Cap, Payback, MOS | 2 of 3 | |
| Windage growth g | 15.0% | |
| P/E · 10y median | 49.8× | 35.9× |
| EPS FY2025 | $7.96 | |
| FCF yield | 1677.2% | |
| Dividend (TTM) · yield | – | – |
| Total return per year, dividends reinvested · 5y · 10y | 30.5% | 41.6% |
| Revenue · net income last FY | $881M | $259M |
Big Five 14/15 tests ≥10%
| 10y | 5y | 1y | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 16% | 18% | 16% |
| Sales growth | 19% | 27% | 31% |
| EPS growth | 30% | 37% | 38% |
| BVPS growth | 142% | 400% | 39% |
| OCF growth | 25% | 32% | 4% |
| Debt payoff (yrs of FCF) | 0.0 |
Events
Event scan (8-Ks, insider buys, 13Ds) runs for stocks that pass the quality screen.
Radar news and filings, judged against the event rules
- NOISE 2026-10-09 · Fell 10% in the semiconductor sell-off; no company newsA market-wide move: price, not value (METHOD 7). The screen's buy-range label came from a share-count scale error (fixed); NVMI is above Sticker. [1]