RuleOne

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MSCI MSCI Inc.

NYSE · Industrials · Services-Business Services, NEC · Market cap $39.2B · $535.95 on 2026-10-02

Above StickerTier CDetailed (TTM)

Price moves

1 week-3%
1 month-6%
3 months-11%
6 months-2%
YTD-8%
1 year-4%
Off 52w high-17%
52w range$501–$645

Price and total return

PriceTotal return (dividends reinvested)

Show year-end values
YearPriceDividend-adjusted
2016$78.78$70.78
2017$126.54$115.11
2018$147.43$135.77
2019$258.18$240.57
2020$446.53$419.53
2021$612.69$579.53
2022$465.17$444.29
2023$565.65$546.04
2024$600.01$585.94
2025$573.73$567.39
2026-10-02 (latest)$535.95$535.95

Dividend-adjusted values are back-adjusted to today's price: the gap to the price column is the value of dividends reinvested since then.

Buy (MOS)
$174
Ten Cap
$219
Payback Time
$304
Sticker
$348
Price
$536

Analyst consensus 17 analysts · as of 2026-10-09 · the street vs Rule #1

Crowded Targets $570 low · $689 mean · $760 high (+29% to the mean)

Analysts love it but the price is above Sticker. Good news is already priced in.

Low
$570
Mean
$689
High
$760
Buy (MOS)
$174
Sticker
$348
Price
$536
Strong buy 4Buy 12Hold 1Strong sell 1

Average rating 1.5 of 5 (1 = strong buy, 5 = sell) · strong buy · EPS growth next year 14% vs windage 12.2%

A price target is a 12-month price opinion, not a valuation. Rule #1 treats analysts as a lead and their growth as a ceiling (077, 093). Source: Yahoo Finance consensus.

Valuation

Buy (MOS) 50% of Sticker$173.99-68%
Ten Cap 10× owner earnings − net debt$218.59-59%
Payback Time 8-year FCF payback$303.69-43%
Sticker Rule #1 intrinsic value$347.97-35%
Methods agree price under how many of Ten Cap, Payback, MOS0 of 3
Windage growth g12.2%
Future P/E (min 2g, 10y median)24.4×
P/E · 10y median29.3×42.3×
EPS TTM 2026-06-30$18.29
FCF yield4.1%
Dividend (TTM) · yield$7.951.5%
Dividend growth 5y, per year18.7%
Total return per year, dividends reinvested · 5y · 10y-1.4%22.7%
Revenue · net income last FY$3.1B$1.2B

Big Five 10/15 tests ≥10%

10y5y1y
ROIC26%31%39%
Sales growth11%13%10%
EPS growth23%17%12%
BVPS growth–––
OCF growth17%14%6%
Debt payoff (yrs of FCF)4.0

Events

insider buying (1 Form 4s, $1.00M); 8-K: 2026-08-07: 5.02 Director/officer change; next report ~2026-10-20

Next report ≈ 2026-10-20 · SEC filings ·Yahoo Finance

Radar news and filings, judged against the event rules

Held by: Markel (Tom Gayner) 0.6% of 13F as of 2026-06-30. 13Fs lag up to 45 days and show names, not decisions.