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GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.

NYSE · Energy · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas · Market cap $584M · $4.47 on 2026-10-02

Buy (Payback/Ten Cap)Tier CDetailed (TTM)

micro-cap

Price moves

1 week1%
1 month-12%
3 months1%
6 months-22%
YTD3%
1 year-18%
Off 52w high-27%
52w range$4–$6

Price and total return

PriceTotal return (dividends reinvested)

Show year-end values
YearPriceDividend-adjusted
2020$10.02$7.47
2021$9.81$7.32
2022$9.03$6.80
2023$6.02$4.86
2024$6.46$5.59
2025$4.70$4.40
2026-10-02 (latest)$4.47$4.47

Dividend-adjusted values are back-adjusted to today's price: the gap to the price column is the value of dividends reinvested since then.

Ten Cap
$20
Payback Time
$31
Price
$4

Analyst consensus 5 analysts · as of 2026-10-09 · the street vs Rule #1

Street agrees Targets $6 low · $8 mean · $11 high (+75% to the mean)

Rule #1 price and the street both say cheap.

Low
$6
Mean
$8
High
$11
Price
$4
Buy 3Hold 2

Average rating 1.8 of 5 (1 = strong buy, 5 = sell) · buy · EPS growth next year 64% vs windage 15.0%

A price target is a 12-month price opinion, not a valuation. Rule #1 treats analysts as a lead and their growth as a ceiling (077, 093). Source: Yahoo Finance consensus.

Valuation

Buy (MOS) 50% of Sticker––
Ten Cap 10× owner earnings − net debt$19.60338%
Payback Time 8-year FCF payback$30.94592%
Sticker Rule #1 intrinsic value––
Methods agree price under how many of Ten Cap, Payback, MOS2 of 3
Windage growth g15.0%
P/E · 10y median–12.0×
EPS TTM 2026-06-30$-0.22
FCF yield43.9%
Dividend (TTM) · yield$0.449.8%
Total return per year, dividends reinvested · 5y · 10y-9.3%–
Revenue · net income last FY$450M$24M

Big Five 7/11 tests ≥10%

10y5y1y
ROIC14%18%4%
Sales growth–39%18%
EPS growth––29%
BVPS growth–11%-5%
OCF growth–35%8%
Debt payoff (yrs of FCF)1.2

Events

-27% off 52w high; insider buying (3 Form 4s, $0.11M); 13D: SCHEDULE 13D/A 2026-09-04, SCHEDULE 13D/A 2026-08-21; 8-K: 2026-08-19: 5.02 Director/officer change; 7.01 Reg FD disclosure; 8.01 Other event; next report ~2026-11-05

Next report ≈ 2026-11-05 · SEC filings ·Yahoo Finance