CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
NYSE · Materials · Agricultural Chemicals · Market cap $17.7B · $115.01 on 2026-10-02
Buy (Payback/Ten Cap)Tier BDetailed (TTM)
Price moves
1 week0%
1 month-14%
3 months4%
6 months-12%
YTD39%
1 year28%
Off 52w high-19%
52w range$75–$142
Price history
Show year-end prices
| Year | Close |
|---|---|
| 2016 | $31.48 |
| 2017 | $42.54 |
| 2018 | $43.51 |
| 2019 | $47.74 |
| 2020 | $38.71 |
| 2021 | $70.78 |
| 2022 | $85.2 |
| 2023 | $79.5 |
| 2024 | $85.32 |
| 2025 | $77.34 |
| 2026-10-02 (latest) | $115.01 |
Buy (MOS)
$80
$80
Ten Cap
$124
$124
Sticker
$159
$159
Payback Time
$166
$166
Price
$115
$115
Valuation
| Buy (MOS) 50% of Sticker | $79.56 | -31% |
|---|---|---|
| Ten Cap 10× owner earnings | $123.87 | 8% |
| Payback Time 8-year FCF payback | $165.94 | 44% |
| Sticker Rule #1 intrinsic value | $159.11 | 38% |
| Windage growth g | 11.4% | |
| Future P/E (min 2g, 10y median) | 16.2× | |
| P/E · 10y median | 8.5× | 16.2× |
| EPS TTM 2026-06-30 | $13.48 | |
| FCF yield | 10.8% | |
| Revenue · net income last FY | $7.1B | $1.5B |
Big Five 11/15 tests ≥10%
| 10y | 5y | 1y | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 17% | 27% | 23% |
| Sales growth | 5% | 11% | 19% |
| EPS growth | 12% | 44% | 33% |
| BVPS growth | 6% | 17% | 8% |
| OCF growth | 9% | 17% | 21% |
| Debt payoff (yrs of FCF) | 1.8 |
Events
8-K: 2026-09-03: 5.02 Director/officer change; next report ~2026-11-05
Next report ≈ 2026-11-05 · SEC filings ·Yahoo Finance